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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dellser Sheerand 1y 13 | S A Saberton — 23% R389 W89 P251 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | - | 39 (1) | 34 (1) | 33 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 45 | - | 50 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 7/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Ballinulty Jessb 2y 19 | S A Saberton — 23% R389 W89 P251 Trainer form — last 3 months | 59 | 46 | 26 (4) | 35 (2) | 38 (1) | 25 (5) | 26 (1) | 46 (5) | 40 (5) | 63 (2) | 78 (1) | 46 (5) | - | 42 | 32 | 46 | 41 | 36 | 1 | 6/4F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Early Paceb 2y 15 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R665 W132 P349 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | - | 24 (6) | 19 (4) | 33 (2) | 22 (5) | 33 (2) | 24 (4) | 26 (4) | 34 (3) | 39 (1) | 34 (1) | 52 | 45 | 25 | 30 | 27 | 26 | 5 | 8/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Dashgrove Razzleb 2y 16 | S A Saberton — 23% R389 W89 P251 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 51 | 31 (3) | 25 (5) | 32 (2) | 34 (1) | 21 (2) | 33 (1) | 51 (5) | 55 (3) | 51 (4) | 50 (4) | 48 | 42 | 39 | 60 | 36 | 35 | 3 | 3/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Savana Grandadd 2y 37 | T J Nevin — 17% R425 W71 P206 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 53 | 50 (3) | 18 (3) | 43 (5) | 30 (2) | 15 (4) | 22 (1) | 14 (4) | 13 (4) | 61 (4) | 75 (1) | 36 | 20 | - | 18 | 31 | 21 | 4 | 11/2 | ||
Ballinulty Jess is selected with Medium confidence on the strongest form profile in this field by every available measure. The composite of 36 is the highest in the race, the average performance of 41 is the highest, and the speed rating of 59 is the highest. Her last run was a second at D3 238m — directly relevant form at this exact grade and trip. From trap two (17.21%) the draw is at the lower-average end for D3 Harlow 238m, which prevents the confidence from climbing higher. However, when all three prediction metrics lead the field simultaneously, the form case is straightforward. The only scenario where this race goes against her is if the draw disadvantage allows an inner runner to establish an unassailable first-bend lead, which is a genuine risk at a track where early position is so decisive. Medium confidence reflects the quality of the form tempered by a sub-optimal draw.
Main danger. Better draw than the selection and near-identical metrics. Will win if the selection fails to overcome the T2 gate.
Honest D3/D4 competitor. Draw and metrics both sit behind the selection.
Worst draw and poor form. Near impossible task from this gate tonight.
Best draw in the race but weakest form and composite. Could benefit if others have problems but not a confident selection.
T6 is overwhelmingly dominant at D3 Harlow 238m (28.34%) — the highest single trap percentage at any grade and trip at this venue. T3 is the worst draw (13.23%). The draw impact is at its most extreme in this race. Note: no T5 runner tonight.
T1:17.15% T2:17.21% T3:13.23% T4:18.92% T5:16.23% T6:28.34%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.