Monday the 15th of June gave the model 155 races to work with, a hefty workload for a mid-week card. The headline figure: 44 first-pick wins from 155 races, a win rate of 28.4%. The model's seven-day average sits at 26.6%, so yesterday came in above the weekly baseline by a meaningful margin.
Place accuracy was even better. First picks landed in the frame 77 times, a place rate of 49.7%. In practical terms, roughly half of yesterday's top-rated dogs finished in the top two positions. For punters using the model to identify each-way value or place-only bets, that is a useful hit rate across a large field count.
The broader coverage reinforces the picture. Looking at whether any of the model's top three picks won the race, that figure came in at 100 wins from 155 races, a 64.5% rate. In nearly two out of every three races yesterday, at least one of the model's three selections found the winner. Place coverage from the top three was even tighter: 139 frame finishes from 155, or 89.7%.
One caveat worth noting: a strong day on win rate does not automatically mean it was a profitable day for punters. Win rate and ROI are different things, and short-priced favourites landing at even money move the needle differently from a well-priced selection at 5-1. The accuracy data tells you the model read the form well; how that translates to returns depends on the prices available. Overall, a day the model can be pleased with.