Saturday June 13 was the biggest programme of the week — 246 races across British and Irish tracks — and the model held up well across the volume. The first pick won 66 times, a win rate of 26.8%, comfortably above the long-run average and a strong result given the scale of the card. The first pick also placed in 114 races out of 246, a place rate of 46.3%.
Large programmes can flatten performance because they include a higher proportion of low-confidence races alongside the clearer selections. Hitting 26.8% on a 246-race card therefore reads better than the same number on a quieter midweek programme of 100 races.
Zoom out to the top-three selections and Saturday's any-top-3 win rate reaches 63% — 155 races won by one of the model's three picks. That is a strong coverage figure for those running place-based systems or monitoring which way the model's confidence points across the full card.
For anyone running a results review across specific tracks or grades, the full breakdown is available in the historic results for yesterday's date.