Wednesday's card produced 50 first-pick wins from 179 races — a 27.9% strike rate that runs comfortably ahead of the 16.7% you'd expect from random selection. The first-pick place rate came in at 51.4%, meaning the top-rated dog ran first or second in more than half of all races across a full 179-race card. That's a genuinely good day.
Expand the net to any of the top three picks and the numbers get sharper. 120 wins from 179 races gives a 67.0% any-top-3 win rate. The place equivalent is 87.7% — the race verdict landed within the predicted top three almost nine times in ten.
A 179-race sample on a Wednesday is a full fixture list, not a quiet midweek. These numbers weren't generated from a handful of races on an easy card. Wednesday was a day where the models read form well across most venues and distances. The full race-by-race breakdown is available in the historic results section.