Sunday June 7th produced one of the better days of the week for the model, and the numbers are worth a proper look. Across 131 races, the top-rated pick won 39 times — a first-pick win rate of 29.8%, well above the seven-day average of 22.2%.
The place performance backed that up. First picks placed in 66 of those 131 races, a place rate just over 50%. When you open up to any of the top three predictions, 89 races (67.9%) were won by a model pick, with 118 (90.1%) producing at least one of the top three in a placing position.
In simple terms: on Sunday, if you followed the model's top selection flat to win, you would have had a winner nearly three times in every ten races. If you were operating any kind of each-way or place betting approach across the model's top picks, you were in the money more often than not.
It's worth keeping that in context. One good day doesn't rewrite the book, and the card on Sunday was 131 races rather than the 250-plus that a full midweek programme produces. A smaller card can swing results in either direction. But 29.8% first-pick strike rate with a 67.9% any-top-3 rate is a solid return, and Sunday's data is worth reviewing in full if you want to see how individual tracks and grades performed.