Tuesday's card ran to 158 races across the country, and the predictions held up well against a large and varied programme. The first pick won 35 of those 158 races for a win rate of 22.2%, while 58 placed — a place rate of 36.7% that kept the strike rate ticking over nicely.
Where the numbers really told a story was in the broader top-three selections. Between the first, second, and third picks, 88 winners came in from 158 races — a 55.7% any-top-3 win rate. The place figures were better still: 138 of the 158 races saw at least one of the top three picks finish in the places, a coverage rate of 87.3%. That's the kind of number that matters for combination bets, doubles, and forecasts. When nearly nine out of ten races have a placed runner from the top three, the data is identifying the right area of the market consistently.
The second pick contributed 33 winners on the day — almost matching the first pick's 35 — with 66 places. The third pick added 20 winners and 53 places. That spread across all three selections suggests the model isn't over-reliant on one headline pick; it's finding competitive dogs across its rankings.
A 158-race card is a serious stress test for any prediction system. Days with fewer races can produce flashy percentages, but holding these kinds of numbers across a programme this size shows the underlying model is doing its job. On to Wednesday.