Tuesday June 2nd was a productive day for the models. Across 107 races on the card, the top-rated pick won 30 times — a first-pick win rate of 28.0%, which sits comfortably above the raw probability baseline for greyhound racing.
Placing tells a similar story. The first pick landed in the frame — first, second, or third — on 48 occasions, a place rate of 44.9%. That means nearly half of all races saw the top-rated dog run into a paying position.
Where the numbers get particularly encouraging is the any-top-3 measure. When you count races where at least one of the model's top three picks won, the figure rises to 67 from 107, a 62.6% win rate. And for any-top-3 placing, 102 of 107 races saw at least one of the three picks run into the first three — 95.3% of the entire card.
That last figure is the one that stands out. Almost every race on a 107-race card had the model reading the form correctly enough to include the winner in its top three. The challenge, as always in greyhound racing, is narrowing those three down to one — and 28% says the model is doing that at a rate that should generate positive returns for punters following the picks and getting decent prices.
Not every day looks like yesterday. The sport produces upsets in volume and some sessions will be tougher. But across a day of this size, these numbers represent the models doing exactly what they are designed to do. Full historical results are available to explore.