Sunday brought 97 races and the predictions returned one of their better days. The first pick won 31 times — a 32% win rate that comfortably clears the seven-day rolling average of 25.2%. First picks placed 49 times, meaning the top selection finished in the frame in more than half of all races run.
When you open it up to any of the top three predictions, 70 of the 97 races were won by a dog the models had flagged — a 72% hit rate. The place coverage across those top three reached 89 of 97 races, or 92%. In practical terms, the winner was somewhere in the predicted top three in nearly every race on the card.
The 32% first-pick figure is worth putting in context. Sunday's card of 97 races is on the smaller side compared to the busier mid-week days — Saturday last week ran 178 races — which means a smaller sample and slightly more susceptibility to a good or bad cluster of results skewing the number. The 72% any-top-3 win rate is less affected by this kind of variance and represents the more meaningful signal. It's been consistently above 60% across the week and Sunday's figure sits comfortably above that.
No particular grade or track dominated the winners column — the performance was spread across the card. Full race-by-race results are available if you want to break down which venues and grades were most accurate.