Friday delivered a solid day for the predictions across 144 races. The top pick won 36 times, a 25.0% strike rate that sits above the seven-day average of 24.3%. Add in the places and 62 of those top picks finished in the first three, a 43.1% place rate.
The broader picture was even better. Looking at all three predicted positions together, at least one of the top three picks won in 87 of the 144 races, a 60.4% hit rate. For each-way followers, 126 races saw a top-three pick place, which translates to 87.5% coverage. These are the kind of numbers that keep compound staking strategies ticking along.
It was a day without drama. No massive outlier performances in either direction, just consistent, workable returns across a full card. That's often the best kind of day for anyone following the model systematically. The big wins make for better stories, but the steady days are where long-term value compounds.
On to Saturday's card with the models in good form.
