Tuesday's 57-race card produced numbers worth being satisfied with. The model's first pick won 14 times across all races — a win rate of 24.6% — while placing on a further 22 occasions, meaning the top selection finished in the frame in 36 out of 57 contests. For a single selection across 57 races at multiple tracks, that is a consistent and professional return.
The broader any-top-three measure tells an even more encouraging story. One of the model's top three predictions won in 33 of yesterday's 57 races, a conversion rate of 57.9%. The top-three selections also placed 48 times in total — meaning that taken as a combination approach, coverage across the card was substantial. Roughly six races in ten had the winner sitting inside the model's three-pick shortlist.
Tuesday cards vary enormously in quality across the different tracks and grades, and a first-pick win rate pushing 25% alongside a majority top-three coverage suggests the model read Tuesday well. There will always be days where the numbers run harder — greyhound racing carries inherent variance that no rating system can entirely eliminate — but results of this kind are the ones that maintain confidence in the data through the leaner spells. The key metric is consistency over time, and Tuesday's card sits comfortably within the expected performance range.
Today's programme spans multiple tracks with Hove providing the headliner in the form of the 4:16pm A1. Yesterday's platform is a steady starting point. The full historical record and yesterday's race-by-race results are available in the results archive for anyone who wants to see the granular detail behind the summary numbers.