Yesterday was a productive day for the model across 80 races covered, with returns that sit comfortably in the green and reflect the kind of consistent edge punters look for over the medium term. The headline figure: 23 first-pick winners from 80 races, a 28.75% strike rate on the top selection. That's a number that quietly compounds when you're betting to a sensible staking plan, and it's the sort of return that rewards patience rather than chasing.
The broader picture is even more encouraging. Adding in the second and third picks, the model's top three combined for 46 wins from 80 races — a 57.5% strike rate when you allow yourself to spread across the leading selections. The any-top-3 placings figure of 64 from 80 (80% placed) underlines just how often the model is getting the right end of the race even when the exact winner slipped through. That's a quality signal: when the picks aren't winning, they're still mostly in the frame.
First-pick places came in at 34, which translates to a 42.5% place rate on the top selection alone — a useful number for punters playing each-way or building forecast tickets around the model's leading runner. Second-pick wins (13) and third-pick wins (10) round out a balanced contribution across the depth of the analysis, which is what you want to see — it suggests the rankings are doing real work rather than relying on one or two standout calls. Nothing spectacular, just steady, professional output. Onto today.