Our systems page throws up some interesting angles, but the one catching our eye today is the Hove Pick1 system, which excludes A2, A6, D3 and OR3 grades and has been delivering a tidy 21% ROI over 90 days. Dig into the recent numbers and the picture looks even better.
From eight qualifying runs, this system has produced three winners and four places. The win strike rate sits at 37.5% with a place rate of 50%, and the win profit and loss stands at plus 2.82 units for a 35.3% return on investment. Those are small sample numbers, granted, but the logic behind the system is sound. By filtering out certain grades at Hove, it focuses on races where our first pick has historically performed strongest, cutting out the noise from race types where the model struggles.
Today the system flags ten runners across the Hove card, which is a busy day for it. The qualifiers are Marshmallow Moon from trap one, Minstrels Six also from one, Violet Freya in two, Tea For Me from one, Seomra Benji from six, Gigis Parachute in two, Cloheena Caelan from four, Millbank Buster in two, Fauna Rae from one, and Kanturk Man from two.
Ten runners gives you plenty of options for how to play it. You could back them all level stakes and let the strike rate do the work over time, or cherry-pick the ones with the best trap draws and form lines. What you probably should not do is ignore them entirely, because a system running at this kind of ROI deserves attention even at this stage of its life.
The key with any system is patience and discipline. The sample size will grow and the ROI will fluctuate, but the early signs here are encouraging. Worth following today and keeping on your radar going forward.