The system with the strongest recent numbers is "Hove Pick1 (excl. A2/A6/D3/OR3) — 21% ROI / 90d", which has put up 3 winners from 10 selections over the past seven days. That is a 30% win strike rate and 50% place rate. The 90-day underlying ROI figure of 21% provides the longer context behind what has been a sharp recent spell.
The system's logic is in its name. It takes the model's top pick at Hove, but filters out four specific grades — A2, A6, D3, and OR3. The reasoning behind those exclusions is that certain grade levels produce enough variance at Hove to make a simple top-pick approach unreliable. Removing those races leaves a tighter pool where the composite model's confidence is cleaner and the top selection wins more often.
Hove itself is a track with pronounced draw patterns — trap 6 wins at 28.6% and trap 5 at 25.8%, making it one of the more outside-biased tracks in the database. A system that selects top picks at Hove while being selective about grades is effectively combining two information sources: the model's rating and the track's structural draw advantage.
Ten selections is a short window, and 205% ROI over that run will normalise over time. But a 21% ROI across 90 days is a meaningful edge. If Hove is a track you follow closely, this system is worth adding to your tracking list — and the systems page has the full grade-level breakdown for those who want to dig into where the edge is coming from.
