The best-performing system in the tracker right now is the Hove Pick1 system (formally: "Hove Pick1, excl. A2/A6/D3/OR3 — 21% ROI / 90d"), and its recent numbers have significantly exceeded its own 90-day baseline. Five winners from 15 selections (33.3% strike rate), nine in the frame (60%), and a win return on investment of 131.7%.
What the system does is deliberately narrow. It takes the model's top pick at Hove only, then strips out four grade brackets — A2, A6, D3, and OR3 — where field quality and form reliability tend to be thinner. What remains are the model's most confident selections in competitive Hove races: dogs where the composite rating, field speed data, and suitability scores all point in the same direction.
Hove itself is a track with predictable draw patterns (trap 6 wins 28.2% of races from 39 recorded runs, well above average), which helps a model that weights course suitability heavily. When the top pick also has a good draw and strong field speed numbers, the convergence of signals is what this system is designed to capture.
A win ROI of 131.7% over 15 runs means the system is not just finding winners — it is finding winners at prices above their true probability. That is the harder part of the puzzle, and it does not always persist as prices adjust. The 90-day ROI of 21% is the longer-term figure to anchor expectations to, but for now the system is running hot and the logic behind its selections is sound.