Seven days, 834 races, and a first-pick win rate of 24.3%. The numbers confirm what regular users will have felt: this has been a steady, reliable week for the prediction models with one notable dip.
Thursday May 28th was the soft spot. Just 23 first-pick winners from 131 races, a 17.6% hit rate that dragged the weekly average down. The any-top-3 win rate that day also dropped to 54.2%, the lowest of the week. There's no single obvious explanation. It wasn't a dramatically smaller card, and 131 races is a large enough sample that this wasn't just thin-card variance. Sometimes the models encounter an evening where the form book gets torn up, and Thursday was one of those.
Either side of that dip, the models performed well. Friday bounced back to 25.0% first-pick winners. Sunday and Monday earlier in the week both hit the high twenties at 28.7% and 28.8% respectively. The consistency on both sides of Thursday suggests the wobble was an outlier rather than a trend.
The place rates held up even better across the full week. First picks placed 42.1% of the time, and looking at all three selections, at least one placed in 84.5% of races. That 84.5% figure is the real headline for each-way followers: in roughly five out of six races, one of the top three picks hit the frame.
Overall, a week to be satisfied with. Not spectacular, but dependable, and dependable is what builds a long-term edge.