The 18:04:00 at Star Pelaw delivers the standout contest on today's card — a Open Race — the premier class event over 245 metres with 6 going to post. It's a race that demands closer inspection, and the data backs that up.
Pace is the key question here. Knockduff Don (Trap 2) and Cazzers Ellie (Trap 5) both possess genuine early speed, which sets up a contested front end. That early battle could play into the hands of a closer — and there's one in the field.
Vixons Cocktail (Trap 1, the red jacket) — trained by G Walker — emerges as the form pick. Recent form reads 2-2-3-4-5. Last ran 14.66 over course and distance. . Best time over this trip: 14.7s.
Knockduff Don (Trap 2) is the principal danger. Recent form reads 3-6-5-2-3. Last ran 14.86 over course and distance. Knockduff Don is one who tends to burn bright early before fading in the closing stages.
Of the remainder, Fruity Aye Aye (Trap 4, form 4-3-4-5-1) could benefit if the pace collapses; Cazzers Ellie (Trap 5, form 6-1-2-3-2) needs improvement on recent efforts; Sadele (Trap 6, form 5-4-3-5-3) needs improvement on recent efforts; Longacres Smoke (Trap 3, form 6-4-3-3-3) could benefit if the pace collapses.
The Verdict: Vixons Cocktail from Trap 1 gets the vote. Knockduff Don is the clear danger, but the edge on pace, form, and conditions favours the selection. A genuine betting race — and one where the data has a strong opinion.